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Part I of this two-part series highlighted a variety of indicators that suggested higher stock prices twelve months from now. Conversely, the indicators covered in Part II suggest that there may be some bumps in the road over the next six months. The overall message is one of "Manage your expectations and choose your strategy wisely."

A macro trading model measuring the short-term spread between long-dated Treasuries and crude oil triggered a new bullish signal. After similar alerts of falling oil and yields, the historical outlook for the S&P 500 and growth-oriented sectors looks outstanding.

Part I of this two-part series details a variety of typically reliable indicator signals that portend good things for the stock market in the year ahead. Part II will highlight a variety of other indicators signaling caution and the potential for below-average market performance in the near-term. Readers can then weigh the evidence and draw their own conclusions.

SentimenTrader's Multi-Index Trading Models are flashing "Long SPY." These quantitative strategies historically beat buy-and-hold by rotating to cash during bear markets, drastically reducing drawdowns while maintaining a robust CAGR.

The Risk On/Off Indicator has plunged alongside a massive 39.7% VIX spike and unfavorable inflation shifts. While near-term risks are elevated, historical data suggests this volatility is ultimately buyable.

The market environment just changed somewhat, and not for the better. Rising inflation causes great uncertainty, and the stock market hates uncertainty. PPI and CPI figures are now officially in "unfavorable" territory. Does this mean stocks are doomed? Not necessarily. But the odds have shifted. Details herein.

Gold's 24% drawdown from record highs and extreme panic in gold miner breadth have reached historic extremes. While central bank buying provides structural support, historical data shows these signals offer no reliable edge for timing rebounds or further declines.

A massive nonfarm payroll beat historically triggers a transient Nasdaq relief rally, while broad commodities underperform. Within 1 to 4 weeks, equities fade into chop as gold catches a structural bid.

The VIX recently registered a 1-day spike of almost 40%, reflecting a rapid increase in fear amongst jittery investors. Does a one-day change in the VIX have any meaning going forward? To answer that question, we (what else?) analyzed the history of previous large 1-day "spikes."